Russia is facing “increasing difficulties” in conducting its invasion of Ukraine, said Dan Rice, special adviser to the Supreme Commander of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Valeriy Zaluzzhnyi.
Russian President Vladimir Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, citing the need to “liberate” the separatist region of Donbas and liberate the Ukrainian government from Nazis, even though Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is Jewish.
While Putin hoped for a swift invasion, he received a stronger-than-expected response from the Ukrainian military. After five months of fighting, Russian gains have stalled and fighting remains concentrated in eastern Ukraine as the military has encountered several problems.
In an interview with Ukrinform published Friday, Rice said the Russian invasion will likely remain difficult for them, predicting that they will “have more and more trouble waging war in Ukraine.”
Rice praised Ukraine for a “excellent job” in defending itself by attacking command and control, supply depots and concentrated troop formations.
“The logistics system of the Russian military requires centralized depots, because of the palletized way of logistics. This makes better and better targets for HIMARS or M777 precision-guided attacks,” he said, referring to the US-produced M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems that have been credited with bolstering Ukraine’s defense efforts.
He said Ukrainians who receive Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMs) could further bolster their military, making the Russian invasion even more difficult because they would have “nowhere in Ukraine” to operate “neither their command and control systems or supply depots.” hide”.
‘Immoral’ troops hinder Russian army, Rice . says
Russia’s weaknesses also stem from leaders using a Soviet model of top-down leadership, Rice said, explaining that the leadership style used by the military makes it more difficult to make changes on the battlefield.
He also criticized Russian troops as “undisciplined and immoral” and leaders as “disrespecting innocent Ukrainian civilians”.
“This weakness is being exploited by Ukraine by attacking and killing Russian leaders. As the Russian military stalls, the generals and colonels are forced to move further and further to the front, effectively becoming the target of Western intelligence agencies working with Ukrainian soldiers to command and control of the Russian army,” he said.
Meanwhile, he said Ukraine’s biggest weakness was that Russia had a much more extensive army with more weapons, but that they have “built up” their army since the invasion began, partly with weapons supplied by the US and the West.
Rice is not the first military expert to suggest that the Russian soldiers, who have been portrayed as inexperienced and suffering from low morale, have been a reason for Russian failures. Some soldiers have reportedly been sent to the front with little to no training, according to a report from MediaZone in July. The Institute for the Study of War reported on April 29 that military leaders have had to promote unqualified soldiers to leadership positions amid losses, and that some soldiers are pretending to have illnesses to get out of service.
Others have pointed to bigger, more systemic problems in the Russian military. For example, US Lieutenant General Scott Berrier, the director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said at a hearing in May that weaknesses stem from a poor command structure, which kills a large number of generals.
News week contacted the Russian Defense Ministry for comment.